Analytics and Business Decisions

In the last few months, I have been working on my latest research on a better connection between demand forecasts and inventory decisions. Eventually, I was invited to give a talk to undergraduate and postgraduate students at Universitas Diponegoro, Semarang, Indonesia – while I am visiting my family. I will write a post about this…

Presenting Forecast Congruence at Drexel University

Oliver Schaer, a colleague of mine at Drexel University, US, invited me to talk about my current research with Nikos Kourentzes in forecast evaluation; we call it forecast congruence. This research was inspired by my last published paper in shrinkage estimators for exponential smoothing (ETS) models. A shrinkage estimator in ETS results in a smoother…

Dijon ISF 2024

I attended the most important conference in the world wide forecasting community, the International Symposium on Forecasting, in Dijon, France. It is a conference with a mix of academics and practitioners, with exciting talks. I was presenting an extension of Forecast Congruence and shrinkage estimators for exponential smoothing models (ETS). I propose a new loss…